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The cone is just a shape defined by track forecast errors over the previous five years, such that there's historically a two-thirds chance the track of the center of the storm will remain inside the cone, and a one-third chance it will be outside the cone, the same cone is used all year long, for every forecast of every storm... they're identical.

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    Quiz

    Are you a quotes master?

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    In which movie does this quote appear: "Long live the King" ?
    A Four Kings
    B The Lion King
    C Arthur the King
    D The King and Four Queens