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Why not shoot Western Mindanao down ? We have to do the risk-reward here, so the first question is, does it pose a threat, a physical kinetic threat, to individuals in United States in the United States homeland ? Our assessment is it does not. Does it pose a threat to civilian aviation ? Our assessment is it does not. Does it pose a significantly enhanced threat on the intelligence side ? Our best assessment right now is that it does not. So given that profile, we assess the risk of downing it, even if the probability is low in a sparsely populated area of the debris falling and hurting someone or damaging property, that it was n’t worth it.

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