Quotes from the news wire:
I've said this a thousand times...we always run shorter duration.
Found on Reuters 5 years ago
We have never owned a single corporate bond in the Total Return Strategy dating back to 1993. Look it up, when corporate bonds become very overvalued, especially when rates fall due to recession prospects increasing — well?
Found on Reuters 5 years ago
What else do you need to call it an inversion? everyone is parsing all of these little arbitrary things. But we've got an inversion.
Found on Reuters 5 years ago
This is a very dangerous part of the cycle, we're 10 years into an expansion and it seems clear that the Fed has overtightened. Unemployment is a lagging indicator. And negative interest rates can be found in many places. If the(Fed's) goal is to keep the expansion going, they need to be more aggressive. You have to think bigger than a so-called (and mislabeled) insurance rate cut.
Found on Reuters 5 years ago
To say that (rate cuts) are going to stop a recession is flawed, once the Fed is in easing mode, it is already too late. You already have a recession gaining momentum.
Found on Reuters 5 years ago
Nominal GDP growth over the past five years would have been negative if U.S. public debt had not increased, one thing everybody seems to miss when they look at these GDP numbers ... they seem to not understand that the growth in the GDP it looks pretty good on the screen is really based exclusively on debt - government debt, also corporate debt and even now some growth in mortgage debt.
Found on Reuters 5 years ago
I think we are going to keep seeing more tension, i think the 25% tariff bump is better than 50% chance. The market obviously does not want to see increased tariffs, so it's been kind of reacting to that.
Found on Reuters 5 years ago
I think this is an extremely compelling time to do this trade and an extremely important environment where outcomes are so binary.
Found on Reuters 5 years ago
I think it is excellent time - if you haven't been in emerging market bonds or high-yield bonds - to contemplate at least a partial shift based upon the level of the dollar and valuation.
Found on Reuters 6 years ago
Facebook used to be a place people felt good going to.
Found on Reuters 6 years ago
This is a good result and a great risk-adjusted result given the low risk nature of pair trades.
Found on Reuters 6 years ago
We never short in our mainline strategies. We also never go to zero Treasuries. We went to lower weightings and change the duration.
Found on Reuters 8 years ago
The artist Christopher Wool has a word painting, 'Sell the house, sell the car, sell the kids.' That’s exactly how I feel – sell everything. Nothing here looks good.
Found on Reuters 8 years ago
Things are shaky and feeling dangerous, i am not selling gold.
Found on Reuters 8 years ago
The 'rate hike cycle' has left the building, they are not preparing the markets for a rate hike at all.
Found on Reuters 8 years ago
What I think is that the Fed doesn't believe their own 'dot plot' anymore.
Found on Reuters 8 years ago
Central banks are losing control and they don't know what to do ... just like the Republican establishment and Donald Trump.
Found on Reuters 8 years ago
The Fed is confused and their confusion spills into investor psychology.
Found on Reuters 8 years ago
I think it is the longest bond I have ever bought in my life. We thought they were very cheap, so we bought them.
Found on Reuters 8 years ago
They are down more than U.S. stocks. If U.S. equities go higher, it would seem very implausible that other markets would not participate in the rally even more.
Found on Reuters 8 years ago
I think it is a reasonable strategy to start legging into the Treasury market.
Found on Reuters 8 years ago
Oil, like I said, had an easy time rallying from 28 to 38. Now the hard work begins, oil is the key to everything.
Found on Reuters 8 years ago
Oil, like I said, had an easy time rallying from 28 to 38. Now the hard work begins, oil is the key to everything.
Found on Reuters 8 years ago
We were near a minimum allocation to stocks before the summer meltdown, we stayed there while the SPX dropped over 250 points. Yes, stocks are, in our view, in a bear market, but there are counter-trend moves along the way.
Found on Reuters 8 years ago
I thought it was a good buy point two weeks ago Wednesday and so we bought some.
Found on Reuters 8 years ago
The evidence that negative rates are harmful and not helpful has piled up to the point that the 'In Central Banks We Trust' mantra has finally been laid bare as a hoax.
Found on Reuters 8 years ago
This is not a trader's market, it is a freight train that you want to stay in sync with. There's too much order and belief in markets in spite of big losses.
Found on Reuters 8 years ago
Credit fund bankruptcies are coming, it's not a market to be flopping around in. The trends are relentless and powerful.
Found on Reuters 8 years ago
This is a liquidation cycle. All of these things that were so loved are being sold. We have a 'sell the winners mentality'.
Found on Reuters 8 years ago
Oil is in massive oversupply due to ZIRP (zero interest-rate policy) induced over-investment, and crashing oil is not the cause of all this chaos, it is a symptom of global economic weakness. As are all the tumbling risk markets.
Found on Reuters 8 years ago
Remember how everyone felt when the market dropped over 350 points just yesterday? You'll feel more scared before mid-year.
Found on Reuters 8 years ago
The stock market is having a hard time (after the December rate hike). This is not a time to be a hero, i think we're going to take out the September low of the S&P 500.
Found on Reuters 8 years ago
The investment teams at DoubleLine have deep experience managing non-dollar investments as well as foreign bonds. The question was not if but when we would offer our global bond strategy, with the dollar having rallied so sharply in recent years, non-dollar-denominated assets now have much greater value than at any time since the founding of DoubleLine.
Found on Reuters 8 years ago
Commodity prices so weak suggest dwindling global growth.
Found on Reuters 8 years ago
If the gating would have been announced a month ago, I believe many credit hedge funds would have seen a spike in year-end redemption requests, but by now the deadlines for redemptions have passed for most funds.
Found on Reuters 8 years ago
I’d have to believe that if they met today that they wouldn’t raise rates, i mean, Wow. Look at the chart of JNK (The SPDR® Barclays High Yield Bond ETF). It’s accelerating to the downside.
Found on Reuters 8 years ago
We are looking at real carnage in the junk bond market.
Found on Reuters 8 years ago
Junk bonds are signaling with clarion bells: Do not raise interest rates.
Found on Reuters 9 years ago
The reason the markets aren't going lower is people are holding and hoping, the market bottoms out when people are selling and sold out - not when they are holding and hoping. I don't think you've seen real selling in risk assets broadly. Markets need buying to go up and they need volume to go up. They can fall just on gravity.
Found on Reuters 9 years ago
The reason the markets aren't going lower is people are holding and hoping, the market bottoms out when people are selling and sold out – not when they are holding and hoping. I don't think you've seen real selling in risk assets broadly. Markets need buying to go up and they need volume to go up. They can fall just on gravity.
Found on Reuters 9 years ago
If we are talking about global GDP and you gave me an over and under number, I will always take the under number.
Found on Reuters 9 years ago
There is not enough global growth to go around and the Fed realizes it, if we are talking about global GDP and you gave me an over and under number, I will always take the under number.
Found on Reuters 9 years ago
Basically what they said is we didn't tighten because of global markets. This is a big deal, the global growth isn't there and they are really scared to reverse course if they raise rates.
Found on Reuters 9 years ago
Basically what they said is we didn't tighten because of global markets, the global growth isn't there and they are really scared to reverse course if they raise rates.
Found on Reuters 9 years ago
If the Fed doesn't raise interest rates, I think you'll see a very powerful move upward in stock prices, at least initially.
Found on Reuters 9 years ago
The market is wounded and it takes time for people to get around to feeling good again, you don't correct all of this in three days.
Found on Reuters 9 years ago
The U.S. stock market is in a mode of uncertainty, at best, you don't correct all of this in three days. The market is wounded and it takes time for people to get around to feeling good again.
Found on Reuters 9 years ago
What happens if the next data report that comes out is unchanged or stronger than the previous one, then talk of another hike gets louder, the Fed historically starts something and they continue on with The Fed as long as the situation stays largely similar. If you start raising rates after such a long period of zero-bound rates, it is a different regime.
Found on Reuters 9 years ago
The global economy is weak, it just seems to me that things aren't exactly fine.
Found on Reuters 9 years ago
To raise interest rates when junk bonds are nearly at a four-year low is a bad idea.
Found on Reuters 9 years ago
Less than one year is too early for any investment strategy. But I do think it would behoove them to clarify their investment process absent Bill Gross.
Found on Reuters 9 years ago
It is too early to make a judgment on Pimco, less than one year is too early for any investment strategy. But I do think it would behoove them to clarify their investment process absent Bill Gross.
Found on Reuters 9 years ago
I can see why they want to get off of zero, but the economy just hasn't really been able to corroborate.
Found on Reuters 9 years ago
I don't think the Fed is going to raise rates in September.
Found on Reuters 9 years ago
The risk-reward set-up was favorable, the 30-year Treasury went to a new high yield and no other part of the curve did. This was exactly the opposite of what happened at the low in yields in January.
Found on Reuters 9 years ago
The risk-reward set-up was favorable, the 30-year Treasury went to a new high yield and no other part of the curve did. This was exactly the opposite of what happened at the low in yields in January.
Found on Reuters 9 years ago
If you take out your magnifying glass, you might convince yourself that hourly earnings are actually rising.
Found on Reuters 9 years ago
If you want to talk about something that is absolutely not going to happen, it is 1.5 percent inflation over all future time windows.
Found on Reuters 9 years ago
I know it is not for everyone but it is one of the more interesting plays.
Found on Reuters 9 years ago
I hope Puerto Rico munis go lower so I can buy more.
Found on Reuters 9 years ago
Puerto Rican muni bonds are my recommendation for a risky thing to buy because they have priced in a lot of problems.
Found on Reuters 9 years ago
It's just not a lot of fun, it's fun when you buy something where you feel like, 'You know what, I am getting 14 percent on this thing, and I will probably make a 20 percent gain.'.
Found on Reuters 9 years ago
I like the 3 percent 10-year; I'd like a 4 percent 10-year, i don't think we are going to get there anytime soon. It'd be nice if yields were higher.
Found on Reuters 9 years ago
The 10-year Treasury could join the Europeans and go to 1 percent. Why not? The European rates are at 1 percent. France is below 1 percent right now.
Found on Reuters 9 years ago
I still believe that there is a danger of repeat of a Treasury meltup that 2014 did end up bringing, particularly into the crescendo of October 15, if something can't go up, it has to go down. Yields can't seem to go up. They might go down. And if they go down any amount again, if the 10-year goes below 2 percent, even below 2.20 percent, that's the line in the sand I am talking about.
Found on Reuters 9 years ago
If oil goes to $40, then the 10-year could be going to 1 percent, the downward momentum on oil has likely found phase 2.
Found on Reuters 9 years ago
It seems to me almost unthinkable that U.S. interest rates could rise in any meaningful way against a backdrop of Spanish bond yields being less than 2 percent, bond yields are going to drop, I think, because if they can't go up, then they have to go down.
Found on Reuters 9 years ago
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