Quotes from the news wire:
The increase in initial claims is less concerning than it may appear, the rise in new filings in California could be capturing refiles.
Found on Reuters 3 years ago
The U.S. is experiencing cost-push inflation, which historically has proven more temporary than other causes of inflation, primarily demand pull.
Found on Reuters 3 years ago
It will be a solid GDP number, it’s one small milestone in many that we have to hit before we can say we have fully recovered from the recession.
Found on Reuters 3 years ago
The widening in the goods deficit suggests that trade will be a drag on first-quarter GDP, this won’t be a big issue, as other parts of the economy are still doing well, such as business investment in equipment and consumer spending.
Found on Reuters 3 years ago
It is hard to fathom how partially rolling back the Trump cuts to pay for the infrastructure plan will meaningfully impede business investment, there is little relationship between the effective corporate tax rate and changes in real business equipment spending. Most U.S. corporations have no trouble getting cheap capital and they pay among the lowest effective tax rates in the world.
Found on Reuters 3 years ago
Though inflation will accelerate this year, some of that will be transitory.
Found on Reuters 3 years ago
Rising material prices, including lumber, are beginning to weigh on builder confidence and reduce housing affordability.
Found on Reuters 3 years ago
Manufacturing is clearly weathering this wave of confirmed COVID-19 cases better than occurred earlier this year, manufacturers are busy, as there is a need to rebuild inventories and demand for consumer goods remains strong, for now.
Found on Reuters 3 years ago
Job growth has been decelerating, since the easy part of the recovery in the labor market, recalling workers, has mostly run its course, surging COVID-19 cases and tighter restrictions to contain the spread of the virus were a heavy weight on the job market in December.
Found on Reuters 3 years ago
U.S. manufacturing should fare reasonably well this winter as businesses need to restock inventories and the shift in consumer spending away from services to goods helps manufacturers.
Found on Reuters 3 years ago
The Thanksgiving holiday can cause issues with the seasonal adjustment process, jobless claims continue to signal a struggling labor market recovery.
Found on Reuters 4 years ago
Given that profits are likely now declining, financial market conditions have tightened and the economy is contracting, business investment will take it on the chin, business investment in equipment will drop sharply in the second quarter.
Found on Reuters 4 years ago
Inflationary pressures are not an issue, this supports the Fed's strong signal that if its expectations hold, monetary easing will not continue in 2020 and rate hikes are even more unlikely.
Found on Reuters 5 years ago
Inflation needs to accelerate noticeably for the Fed to consider raising interest rates, and that doesn't appear to be in the cards.
Found on Reuters 5 years ago
The general message from the labor market is that businesses are cutting back on hiring, but they are not laying off workers and that is important, consumers are what's keeping the economy moving at this point.
Found on Reuters 5 years ago
The slowing in the economy spooked the Fed and markets, but the sky is not falling, if we do get a recession next year it would be because we shot ourselves in the foot with the trade tensions.
Found on Reuters 5 years ago
We don't anticipate any significant acceleration in inflation through the remainder of this year, therefore, the Fed can cut rates in July and then keep them unchanged through 2020.
Found on Reuters 5 years ago
The labor market is rock solid, it is not overheating and it's perfect for the Fed to keep interest rates on hold.
Found on Reuters 5 years ago
We are due for some pay back after strong job growth over the last couple of months, i also think the timing is right for the tightening in financial market conditions last year to begin to affect the employment data.
Found on Reuters 5 years ago
Odds are that the tariffs will begin to boost import prices, the inflationary impact of the steel and aluminum tariffs has been modest, partly because a number of countries initially were exempt, but that has changed.
Found on Reuters 6 years ago
It will take a lot to derail the U.S. economy because of the sugar high it's on from the fiscal stimulus, but a developing trade war between the U.S. and its trading partners is a mounting threat.
Found on Reuters 6 years ago
This will fan Fed concerns that inflation will overshoot the central bank's 2 percent objective by more than policymakers are willing to stomach, the Fed could be crossing its fingers that the supply side of the economy responds, helping slow or halt the unemployment rate's decline.
Found on Reuters 6 years ago
I would not lose sleep over first-quarter GDP, there is the residual seasonality issue, overall the economy is doing very well and will continue to do well this year and into 2019.
Found on Reuters 6 years ago
You can make a strong case either way for the Fed to begin raising interest rates or waiting, the prudent risk management approach would argue for them to hold off, but if the Fed was really data dependent there is a very strong case to raise rates on Thursday.
Found on Reuters 9 years ago
The prudent risk management approach would argue for them to hold off, but if the Fed was really data dependent there is a very a strong case to raise rates on Thursday.
Found on Reuters 9 years ago
You can make a strong case either way for the Fed to begin raising interest rates or waiting, the prudent risk management approach would argue for them to hold off, but if the Fed was really data dependent there is a very a strong case to raise rates on Thursday.
Found on Reuters 9 years ago
We expect a decent bounce back, which will suggest that the economy's struggles at the start of the year were temporary, gDP growth north of 2.5 percent is sufficient to reduce the slack in the broader economy.
Found on Reuters 9 years ago
What matters is the trend. We are making a lot of progress in reducing slack and unless the labor market weakens sharply, the Fed is on track to raise interest rates in September.
Found on Reuters 9 years ago
The labor market is doing well ... inflation is not going anywhere fast. There is no urgency for the Fed to start normalizing monetary policy, they will likely wait until September.
Found on Reuters 9 years ago
We expect them to spend the windfall in the coming quarters.
Found on Reuters 9 years ago
Consumers have an enormous windfall to spend from lower gasoline prices.
Found on Reuters 9 years ago
The U.S. economy remains the best-looking house in an ugly neighborhood.
Found on Reuters 10 years ago
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