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One rule I always follow, never predict what happens in South Korean politics. PRISONER OF NORTH KOREA: AN AMERICAN SAFE AT HOME SHARES HIS ORDEAL The polls have been volatile during the 30 days of the election campaign process, but Moon has held a steady lead throughout, said Scott Snyder, a senior fellow for Korea studies and director of the program on U.S.-Korea policy at the Council on Foreign Relations. There will be new tensions in the U.S.- ROK alliance relationship that have not been there under conservative governments over the course of the past 8 or 9 years.