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It's difficult to predict because there's low visibility, but in this case we think the risk skews towards higher demand to receive the bond rather than deliver it, which would raise the CDS recovery price.

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    Quiz

    Are you a quotes master?

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    What TV series is this quote from: "I am the one who knocks."?
    A The Vampire Diaries
    B One Tree Hill
    C Breaking Bad
    D Game of Thrones